2011 NHL Hockey Free Predictions: Bruins vs Lightning – Eastern Conference Finals
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NHL Playoff Betting – Lightning vs Bruins Game 7 Preview & Pick
Date: May 27 2011
Venue: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Broadcast: Versus, CBC
Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins Betting Lines from Bookmaker.com
Money Line: Lightning +130, Bruins -150
Spread: Bruins -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
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The series has taken a funny road to get there, with Dwayne Roloson and the Bruins’ (non-existent) power play taking us on a rollercoaster ride, but three wins for Tampa and three wins for Boston was about what we expected, right? Yes. I predicted a seven-game war. This was a dead-even matchup on paper all the way.
Instead of closing the book on the series in Game 6, the Lightning and Bruins left us with more questions to answer heading into Game 7.
Tampa triumphed – but not because of Roloson. He was hardly instrumental in Tampa’s win, allowing four goals on just 20 shots. The 41-year-old goaltender improved to 7-0 in elimination games but he hardly looked like a guy the Bolts can depend upon to be a rock in Game 7.
Still, we can’t ignore that the Bruins showed some alarming trends of their own while letting Tampa off the mat. They went 1 for 5 on the power play in Game 6 and that goal raised their playoff percentage to 8.2. Just pitiful. They also struggled to get shots on Tampa’s net yet again, managing just 20 in total. 
The pick:
You can make a strong case for either team in Game 7. The Lightning have relished the underdog status throughout the playoffs, their power play is cooking nicely and they’re generally getting far more scoring chances than Boston is right now.
On the other hand, the Bruins have grown quite comfortable in their own building as the playoffs have progressed. They’ve won five of their last six games at the TD Garden. Tampa took Game 1 there but has lost twice there since and has still lost 24 of its last 28 trips to Boston including the regular season.
I also can’t get past the Roloson factor. He didn’t show in Game 6 that being benched in Game 5 “fixed” him. He looked just as lethargic. If Boston can get four goals on 20 shots, what can they get if they ride the home momentum to, say, a very –attainable 30 shots?
It’s no easy choice but I think Boston can win despite its power-play woes on the strength of home ice and superior goaltending.
Lighting vs Bruins prediction: Bruins 3, Lightning 2
Money Line: Bruins -150
Spread: Lightning +1.5
Over/Under: UNDER 5.5
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